跑馬地 · 2020-10-14
第 3場
2020-10-14跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、A S Cruz訓練的BULLISH BROTHER勝出，贏出1/2。WHISKEY NEAT獲得亞軍；SHINING ON獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門WHISKEY NEAT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT 1.10.23 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 3 | 20.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | WHISKEY NEAT H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 3.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | SHINING ON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | CARRY THE DIAMOND B/H/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 5 | 8.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPREME PLUS B/XB K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 12 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | GLENEALY GENERALS B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 10 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | REGENCY POET B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | FEARLESS FIRE B-/CP1 K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 2 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | DESTINE JEWELLERY V A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 38.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO B/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 11 | 41.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | HAPPILY FRIENDS K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 7 | 37.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WHISKEY NEAT | 17.8% | 5.61 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | SHINING ON | 14.7% | 6.80 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 13.4% | 7.45 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 9.4% | 10.68 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | BULLISH BROTHER | 8.5% | 11.73 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | FEARLESS FIRE | 7.2% | 13.81 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | REGENCY POET | 7.1% | 14.17 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPREME PLUS | 6.4% | 15.59 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO | 4.8% | 20.99 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 4.6% | 21.93 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 3.1% | 31.81 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 3.0% | 33.66 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 201.5
PLACE
3 55
4 13
10 16.5
QUINELLA
3,4 312
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 110.5
3,10 114.5
4,10 36
FORECAST
3,4 860
TIERCE
3,4,10 3,801
TRIO
3,4,10 427
FIRST 4
3,4,6,10 688
QUARTET
3,4,10,6 24,469
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
2/3 647.5
2/4 34
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 21.5