跑馬地 · 2020-10-14
第 6場
2020-10-14跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、K W Lui訓練的LE TERROIR勝出，贏出1/2。FALCON TURBO獲得亞軍；GREEN REIGN獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門LOVING A BOOM跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LE TERROIR XB-/CP/TT1 1.09.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 4 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | FALCON TURBO B/XB K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 7 | 38.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | GREEN REIGN V J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 5.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | STANLEY PARK B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 8.1 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | LOVING A BOOM B/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 1 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | THE RUNNER SR C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 9.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 5 | 52.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | HARMONY N HOME K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 6 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | XPONENTIAL SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 12 | 30.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | HELLO BEAUTY B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 43.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | PRIME MINISTER A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 10 | 18.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | CHATER PINS B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 74.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GREEN REIGN | 19.7% | 5.07 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | HARMONY N HOME | 17.7% | 5.64 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | LOVING A BOOM | 13.1% | 7.65 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | THE RUNNER | 10.6% | 9.41 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | LE TERROIR | 8.9% | 11.27 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | STANLEY PARK | 7.3% | 13.78 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | HELLO BEAUTY | 5.8% | 17.25 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 4.9% | 20.32 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | XPONENTIAL | 4.8% | 21.05 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | FALCON TURBO | 3.7% | 26.86 | 2 |
| 11 | 2 | PRIME MINISTER | 2.5% | 39.41 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | CHATER PINS | 1.0% | 100.81 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 42.5
PLACE
3 94
4 18
12 15.5
QUINELLA
3,12 715
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 287
3,12 223.5
4,12 53.5
FORECAST
12,3 1,918
TIERCE
12,3,4 8,495
TRIO
3,4,12 1,172
FIRST 4
3,4,5,12 1,948
QUARTET
12,3,4,5 50,710
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,8/3,4,12 83,363
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18.5
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
8/3 603
8/12 499
TRIPLE TRIO
1,8,12/4,7,8/3,4,12 7,490,219
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,8,12/4,7,8/Any Combination 5,290