跑馬地 · 2020-10-14
第 4場
2020-10-14跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的WILD WEST WING勝出，贏出1。TRAVEL DATUK獲得亞軍；SIMPLY FLUKE獲得季軍。4.4倍大熱門WINS ALL跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WILD WEST WING 0.56.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 7.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | TRAVEL DATUK B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 5 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | SIMPLY FLUKE H/XB/CP1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | WINS ALL TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 8 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 5.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | WINNER'S HEART N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 7 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 10 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | FARM BUMPER C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 9 | 8.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | DESTIN B C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | HAPPY JAI JAI B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 111.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 3 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | VIVA MAMA V/TT K H Chan · L Ho | K H Chan | L Ho | 2 | 38.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WILD WEST WING | 20.4% | 4.90 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 14.6% | 6.87 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | FARM BUMPER | 10.2% | 9.83 | 8 |
| 4 | 6 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME | 9.9% | 10.15 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | WINNER'S HEART | 8.2% | 12.14 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 7.9% | 12.62 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | WINS ALL | 7.8% | 12.74 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | DESTIN | 7.7% | 13.04 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | TRAVEL DATUK | 7.2% | 13.82 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | DAY DAY RICH | 3.6% | 27.96 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 1.9% | 53.10 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | VIVA MAMA | 0.6% | 158.79 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 73.5
PLACE
1 20
8 25.5
12 31
QUINELLA
8,12 441.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 71.5
1,12 93
8,12 152.5
FORECAST
8,12 800
TIERCE
8,12,1 4,617
TRIO
1,8,12 573
FIRST 4
1,8,10,12 761
QUARTET
8,12,1,10 23,562
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,10/1,8,12 31,605
3 PICK 1
A3 26.5
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/8 1,361.5
3/12 334