Happy Valley · 2020-10-14
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2020-10-14 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. WILD WEST WING, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1, with TRAVEL DATUK second and SIMPLY FLUKE third. The 4.4 favourite WINS ALL finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WILD WEST WING 0.56.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 7.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | TRAVEL DATUK B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 5 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | SIMPLY FLUKE H/XB/CP1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | WINS ALL TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 8 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 5.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | WINNER'S HEART N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 7 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 10 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | FARM BUMPER C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 9 | 8.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | DESTIN B C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | HAPPY JAI JAI B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 111.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 3 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | VIVA MAMA V/TT K H Chan · L Ho | K H Chan | L Ho | 2 | 38.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WILD WEST WING | 20.4% | 4.90 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 14.6% | 6.87 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | FARM BUMPER | 10.2% | 9.83 | 8 |
| 4 | 6 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME | 9.9% | 10.15 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | WINNER'S HEART | 8.2% | 12.14 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 7.9% | 12.62 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | WINS ALL | 7.8% | 12.74 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | DESTIN | 7.7% | 13.04 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | TRAVEL DATUK | 7.2% | 13.82 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | DAY DAY RICH | 3.6% | 27.96 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 1.9% | 53.10 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | VIVA MAMA | 0.6% | 158.79 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 73.5
PLACE
1 20
8 25.5
12 31
QUINELLA
8,12 441.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 71.5
1,12 93
8,12 152.5
FORECAST
8,12 800
TIERCE
8,12,1 4,617
TRIO
1,8,12 573
FIRST 4
1,8,10,12 761
QUARTET
8,12,1,10 23,562
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,10/1,8,12 31,605
3 PICK 1
A3 26.5
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/8 1,361.5
3/12 334