Happy Valley · 2020-10-14
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HERE COMES TED CP 1.09.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 11 | 9.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD B-/CP2/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 6 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 2 | 6.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN B1/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 10 | 26.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HERCULES B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 3 | 1.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ORIENTAL ELITE N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUN SUN FA FA B-/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 5 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | WON BALL TT1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 146.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | VIVA CHEF K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 4 | 69.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WINNING WAYS H/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 12 | 49.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SMILING FACE B/XB V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 7 | 102.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | NOBLE MAN B/E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 11.0 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2020-10-14 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HERE COMES TED, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D E Ferraris, won by N, with SPRINT FORWARD second and TELECOM ROCKET third. The 1.8 favourite HERCULES finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HERCULES | 28.4% | 3.52 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET | 19.6% | 5.09 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | NOBLE MAN | 17.1% | 5.85 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | HERE COMES TED | 9.1% | 11.04 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN | 6.1% | 16.49 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | ORIENTAL ELITE | 5.0% | 19.86 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD | 4.0% | 25.28 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | SUN SUN FA FA | 3.9% | 25.97 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | WINNING WAYS | 2.9% | 34.10 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | VIVA CHEF | 1.3% | 74.89 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 1.3% | 75.62 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | WON BALL | 1.3% | 77.39 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 91
PLACE
4 16.5
7 33
8 21.5
QUINELLA
7,8 428
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 87.5
4,8 49
7,8 123
FORECAST
8,7 989
TIERCE
8,7,4 2,824
TRIO
4,7,8 508
FIRST 4
4,6,7,8 1,675
QUARTET
8,7,4,6 36,870
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 36
A3 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
8/7 201.5
8/8 530.5