Happy Valley · 2020-10-14
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TASHIDELEK Closed strongly B 1.49.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 10 | 7.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | RED ELYSEES Led early B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND B/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 4 | 33.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS Closed strongly Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 11 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI Closed strongly B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 7.7 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | STIMULATION Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 7 | 7.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TANGMERE Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 5 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ABOVE B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 12 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | WEALTHY DELIGHT E M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 2 | 9.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | XANTHUS H/PC/TT B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 8 | 159.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-10-14 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. TASHIDELEK, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with RED ELYSEES second and CLEMENT LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite NAMJONG PLUS finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 20.8% | 4.81 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | TANGMERE | 17.3% | 5.77 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 10.5% | 9.57 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | WEALTHY DELIGHT | 8.2% | 12.18 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | TASHIDELEK | 7.9% | 12.69 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS | 7.7% | 13.04 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | STIMULATION | 7.5% | 13.37 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI | 7.4% | 13.55 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 5.5% | 18.17 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 3.8% | 26.66 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | ABOVE | 2.2% | 44.98 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | XANTHUS | 1.3% | 74.81 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 79
PLACE
2 27.5
8 90.5
12 20
QUINELLA
2,12 218
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 343
2,12 87
8,12 314.5
FORECAST
2,12 520
TIERCE
2,12,8 12,059
TRIO
2,8,12 2,660
FIRST 4
2,3,8,12 3,456
QUARTET
2,12,8,3 91,264
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 21.5
A3 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
12/2 398
12/12 78