Happy Valley · 2020-10-14
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BUDDIES Wire to wire H/TT 1.39.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.9 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI Closed strongly K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 9.6 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS Closed strongly H-/XB-/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 10 | 64.0 | HD |
| 4 | 0 | GREEN LUCK Closed strongly V J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE Closed strongly N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAR AGAIN SR A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 9 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP XB K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 4 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | NOT USUAL TALENT Closed strongly C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 6 | 5.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | ENRICHMENT Closed strongly B V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ENJOYING B/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 12 | 23.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE CP C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | FLYING QUEST B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 14.0 | 12-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-10-14 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. BUDDIES, ridden by C L Chau and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with SOLAR WAI WAI second and AMAZING ONE PLUS third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GREEN LUCK | 33.1% | 3.02 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE | 12.7% | 7.88 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | BUDDIES | 9.6% | 10.46 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 8.2% | 12.25 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAR AGAIN | 6.8% | 14.79 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | ENRICHMENT | 6.7% | 15.03 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 6.1% | 16.45 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | ENJOYING | 5.9% | 16.92 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING QUEST | 4.5% | 22.43 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | INSAYSHABLE | 2.7% | 37.58 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 2.6% | 37.87 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 1.3% | 77.13 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 39
PLACE
2 17.5
6 134.5
10 32
QUINELLA
2,10 205.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 464.5
2,10 80.5
6,10 958
FORECAST
2,10 388
TIERCE
2,10,6 16,777
TRIO
2,6,10 5,370
FIRST 4
2,6,9,10 3,219
QUARTET
2,10,6,9 71,842
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 23
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,12/2,6,10 1,596,774
7TH DOUBLE
2/2 281
2/10 163.5
SIX UP
3,4/8,12/7,8/3,12/2,12/2,10 33,832
3/8/8/12/2/2 558,618
5 [C L Chau] —
TREBLE
12/2/2 1,563
12/2/10 819