Happy Valley · 2020-10-14
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE Closed strongly B- 1.39.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 4 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | KING DRAGON Closed strongly V/XB Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | ROYAL RACER Closed strongly V J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 8 | 34.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND Led early TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED Closed strongly H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 12 | 26.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER Closed strongly M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 10 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP B- C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 30.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | DAILY CHARM B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 71.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | PARTY GENIUS XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-10-14 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SUMSTREETSUMWHERE, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Hall, won by 1/2, with KING DRAGON second and ROYAL RACER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite KING DRAGON finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KING DRAGON | 26.1% | 3.82 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 16.4% | 6.11 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 11.7% | 8.51 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | ROYAL RACER | 10.7% | 9.33 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 8.9% | 11.24 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | PARTY GENIUS | 8.0% | 12.55 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 4.0% | 24.83 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE | 3.9% | 25.94 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 3.8% | 26.54 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 3.3% | 30.38 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED | 1.8% | 54.71 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | DAILY CHARM | 1.4% | 71.69 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 41.5
PLACE
2 15
5 16.5
6 15
QUINELLA
2,5 70
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 31.5
2,6 38.5
5,6 42.5
FORECAST
2,5 187
TIERCE
2,5,6 532
TRIO
2,5,6 98
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 447
QUARTET
2,5,6,1 8,136
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/2 192
6/5 25
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18.5
A2 —