跑馬地 · 2020-10-28
第 4場
2020-10-28跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的HARRIER JET勝出，贏出HD。SPRINT FORWARD獲得亞軍；HAPPILY FRIENDS獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門WHISKEY NEAT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HARRIER JET B 1.10.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 6.3 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | SPRINT FORWARD CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 4 | 4.8 | HD |
| 3 | 8 | HAPPILY FRIENDS C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 3 | 28.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | WHISKEY NEAT H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | WON BALL TT H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 12 | 168.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPREME PLUS B/XB K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 7.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPY TIME TT B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 11 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | SPLIT OF A SECOND CP/H M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 1 | 8.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | FANTASTIC FABIO V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 10 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN H M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 99.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | FRESH POWER B-/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 132.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | PRECISION DREAM B1 A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 2 | 115.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WHISKEY NEAT | 25.9% | 3.86 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | SPRINT FORWARD | 14.1% | 7.11 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | SUPREME PLUS | 13.1% | 7.65 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | HARRIER JET | 10.7% | 9.38 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 9.2% | 10.90 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 8.8% | 11.32 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | PRECISION DREAM | 4.5% | 22.26 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | HAPPY TIME | 3.9% | 25.80 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 3.4% | 29.71 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 2.8% | 35.75 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | FRESH POWER | 1.9% | 52.01 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | WON BALL | 1.9% | 53.98 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 63
PLACE
1 19.5
5 17
8 68
QUINELLA
1,5 187
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 66
1,8 268
5,8 169.5
FORECAST
1,5 392
TIERCE
1,5,8 10,103
TRIO
1,5,8 1,659
FIRST 4
1,2,5,8 698
QUARTET
1,5,8,2 24,963
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 19.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/1 443
2/5 19