跑馬地 · 2020-10-28
第 7場
2020-10-28跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的SKY DARCI勝出，贏出1-1/4。STORM WARNINGS獲得亞軍；HARDLY SWEARS獲得季軍。頭馬以2.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SKY DARCI TT 1.09.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 2.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | STORM WARNINGS SR/CP1/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 6 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | HARDLY SWEARS H A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 1 | 6.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 9 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | MEHBOOB XB M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | NEXTMODEL H/TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 3 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | WINSTON'S LAD B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 42.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | HAPPY FORTUNE H/XB/P1/TT1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 91.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SERIOUS LIAISON XB1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 126.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | MIG ENERGY XB/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 8 | 4.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | STRIVE FOR GLORY TT N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 7 | 110.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | SUPER COMMANDER B-/XB K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 144.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SKY DARCI | 24.8% | 4.03 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | HARDLY SWEARS | 21.3% | 4.69 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | MIG ENERGY | 20.9% | 4.79 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | MEHBOOB | 9.6% | 10.41 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | STORM WARNINGS | 8.2% | 12.22 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | NEXTMODEL | 5.0% | 20.08 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR | 3.0% | 33.87 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | WINSTON'S LAD | 2.9% | 33.99 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | SERIOUS LIAISON | 1.9% | 51.67 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPER COMMANDER | 0.8% | 123.34 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY FORTUNE | 0.8% | 125.89 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 0.8% | 132.77 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 20.5
PLACE
1 31.5
6 13
7 17
QUINELLA
1,6 136.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 46.5
1,7 86.5
6,7 26.5
FORECAST
6,1 242
TIERCE
6,1,7 727
TRIO
1,6,7 130
FIRST 4
1,6,7,11 676
QUARTET
6,1,7,11 8,942
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,12>1,11/1,6,7 10,917
3 PICK 1
A1 13.5
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
12/1 358
12/6 304
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,7,12/6,12>1,11/Any Combination 38,856