跑馬地 · 2020-10-28
第 3場
2020-10-28跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、K H Ting訓練的WHAT A LEGEND勝出，贏出1。LUCKY QUALITY獲得亞軍；CARRY THE DIAMOND獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門CARRY THE DIAMOND跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WHAT A LEGEND B 1.09.93 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 1 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 3.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | CARRY THE DIAMOND B/H/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 5 | 3.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | SUN SUN FA FA TT B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 10 | 65.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | RUN THE TABLE H M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | DESTINE JEWELLERY V-/B2 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 32.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | GINTOKI B A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 2 | 8.5 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPER EIGHTEEN B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 9 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | THE ELITES TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 4 | 199.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 8 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | HOT CHILI PEPPER B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 6 | 63.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | ROSSE SCARPE XB H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 11 | 229.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY | 31.6% | 3.17 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 18.3% | 5.48 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | GINTOKI | 12.1% | 8.26 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | SUPER EIGHTEEN | 8.6% | 11.63 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | BULLISH BROTHER | 7.9% | 12.64 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | WHAT A LEGEND | 5.8% | 17.19 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | SUN SUN FA FA | 5.4% | 18.48 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 5.4% | 18.63 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | RUN THE TABLE | 2.0% | 50.23 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | THE ELITES | 1.5% | 66.94 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | HOT CHILI PEPPER | 1.0% | 102.25 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | ROSSE SCARPE | 0.5% | 208.92 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 40.5
PLACE
2 16.5
3 16
5 14.5
QUINELLA
2,3 90.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 36.5
2,5 37
3,5 31.5
FORECAST
2,3 147
TIERCE
2,3,5 525
TRIO
2,3,5 88
FIRST 4
2,3,4,5 938
QUARTET
2,3,5,4 13,298
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
5/2 147.5
5/3 27
3 PICK 1
A1 19.5
A3 —
A2 —