沙田 · 2020-11-04
第 1場
2020-11-04沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由C L Chau策騎、D J Hall訓練的DEMONS ROCK勝出，贏出3/4。VIVA COUNCIL獲得亞軍；SPICY REALLY獲得季軍。頭馬以3.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DEMONS ROCK B 1.10.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 2 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | VIVA COUNCIL V2 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 9.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | SPICY REALLY V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | CORRE RAPIDO B K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 8 | 5.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | ADONIS CP-/H-/P2 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 6 | 9.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | FAIRY FLOSS K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | WELL DRAGON B1/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 9 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | TAILOR MADE B2 Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 4 | 6.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | EVER STRONG P-/B2 C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 11 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | READY CONQUEROR M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 5 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | WHO'S HORSE B/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 10 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | SOCKET ELITE SR-/TT2 B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 1 | 55.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DEMONS ROCK | 18.7% | 5.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | TAILOR MADE | 17.3% | 5.77 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | ADONIS | 15.6% | 6.40 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | WHO'S HORSE | 10.0% | 9.99 | 11 |
| 5 | 11 | SPICY REALLY | 7.7% | 12.96 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | EVER STRONG | 6.0% | 16.59 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | CORRE RAPIDO | 6.0% | 16.68 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | WELL DRAGON | 5.6% | 18.02 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | VIVA COUNCIL | 5.2% | 19.32 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | FAIRY FLOSS | 3.4% | 29.44 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | READY CONQUEROR | 2.7% | 37.31 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | SOCKET ELITE | 1.8% | 56.52 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 37
PLACE
1 14.5
2 31.5
11 43.5
QUINELLA
1,2 202
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 75
1,11 103
2,11 228.5
FORECAST
1,2 285
TIERCE
1,2,11 4,035
TRIO
1,2,11 751
FIRST 4
1,2,10,11 1,019
QUARTET
1,2,11,10 18,310
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 22.5