跑馬地 · 2020-11-18
第 7場
2020-11-18跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、A S Cruz訓練的MIG ENERGY勝出，贏出1。BEAUTY SPARK獲得亞軍；TRUST ME獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門KEEP YOU WARM跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MIG ENERGY XB/TT 1.09.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | BEAUTY SPARK B/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 7 | 25.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | TRUST ME H M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 1 | 8.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | HARDLY SWEARS H K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 6 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | STORM WARNINGS CP/SR/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 11 | 6.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | EMERALD SPUR B/TT V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 10 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 3 | 2.5 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | MERIDIAN GENIUS A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 9 | 7.1 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | CABLE SPEED N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 5 | 184.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | ACA POWER H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 152.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | SERIOUS LIAISON XB-/TT1 M L Yeung · D J Hall | M L Yeung | D J Hall | 2 | 107.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | KA YING LEGEND TT T Piccone · T P Yung | T Piccone | T P Yung | 12 | 127.0 | 32-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KEEP YOU WARM | 31.4% | 3.19 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | MIG ENERGY | 13.4% | 7.48 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | STORM WARNINGS | 12.5% | 8.03 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | HARDLY SWEARS | 11.8% | 8.48 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | TRUST ME | 9.4% | 10.63 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 7.1% | 14.02 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | EMERALD SPUR | 4.5% | 22.08 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | BEAUTY SPARK | 4.2% | 23.59 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | CABLE SPEED | 2.3% | 43.12 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | KA YING LEGEND | 1.3% | 75.77 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | SERIOUS LIAISON | 1.2% | 84.96 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | ACA POWER | 0.9% | 113.58 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 65
PLACE
5 21
7 61
12 25.5
QUINELLA
5,7 513
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 159
5,12 65
7,12 238.5
FORECAST
5,7 714
TIERCE
5,7,12 5,770
TRIO
5,7,12 1,516
FIRST 4
5,7,9,12 1,659
QUARTET
5,7,12,9 36,646
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,11/5,7,12 133,752
3 PICK 1
A2 22.5
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
2/5 403
2/7 275.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,10,11/2,6,11/5,7,12 2,184,855
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,10,11/2,6,11/Any Combination 1,570