跑馬地 · 2020-11-18
第 6場
2020-11-18跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、D A Hayes訓練的SPRINT FORWARD勝出，贏出1/2。SMART CHARADE獲得亞軍；DAILY BEAUTY獲得季軍。5.0倍大熱門WON BALL跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SPRINT FORWARD CP/TT 1.10.16 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 8 | 7.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | SMART CHARADE B/H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 6 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | DAILY BEAUTY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 5.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | NOBLE MAN B/E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | JADE THEATRE B- K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 5.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | HAPPILY FRIENDS N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 4 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | FLYING PHOTOS B-/H2 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 35.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | WON BALL TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 5.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | THE BEST HERO H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 2 | 81.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | GINTOKI B A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 9 | 31.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | FANTASTIC FABIO M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 5 | 7.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 12 | 44.0 | 11-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DAILY BEAUTY | 21.2% | 4.72 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | SPRINT FORWARD | 14.6% | 6.85 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | NOBLE MAN | 13.6% | 7.35 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | WON BALL | 9.9% | 10.08 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 7.6% | 13.13 | 11 |
| 6 | 11 | SMART CHARADE | 6.8% | 14.72 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 6.6% | 15.24 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | GINTOKI | 6.4% | 15.55 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | JADE THEATRE | 5.3% | 18.85 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | BULLISH BROTHER | 4.6% | 21.69 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | FLYING PHOTOS | 1.9% | 52.86 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | THE BEST HERO | 1.5% | 66.70 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 75
PLACE
2 21
6 21.5
11 28.5
QUINELLA
2,11 418.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 76.5
2,11 118.5
6,11 87
FORECAST
2,11 502
TIERCE
2,11,6 3,934
TRIO
2,6,11 669
FIRST 4
2,6,9,11 2,613
QUARTET
2,11,6,9 53,701
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 30.5
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
2/2 124
2/11 96