跑馬地 · 2020-11-18
第 5場
2020-11-18跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的WILD WEST WING勝出，贏出1-1/2。U W BROTHER獲得亞軍；OVERSUBSCRIBED獲得季軍。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WILD WEST WING 0.56.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 3.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | U W BROTHER C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 4.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 7 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | ARDENODE TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 10 | 9.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | PEAK TO PEAK K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | WAYFOONG CHARMER BO K H Chan · P O'Sullivan | K H Chan | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | PACKING CHAMPION H1 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 9 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | GRATWICK TT T Piccone · T P Yung | T Piccone | T P Yung | 3 | 64.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | BRILLIANT H-/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 4 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | HONEY BEE TT1 V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 11 | 68.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | CARRY THE DIAMOND B/H/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 12 | 5.8 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | SUNNY SMILE H-/B1/TT1 H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 8 | 225.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WILD WEST WING | 21.9% | 4.56 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | U W BROTHER | 20.3% | 4.92 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 12.1% | 8.28 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | PEAK TO PEAK | 11.8% | 8.45 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | ARDENODE | 8.5% | 11.80 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 8.5% | 11.82 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | WAYFOONG CHARMER | 4.7% | 21.17 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | HONEY BEE | 4.4% | 22.66 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | BRILLIANT | 3.4% | 29.09 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | PACKING CHAMPION | 2.2% | 46.35 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | GRATWICK | 1.7% | 58.22 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | SUNNY SMILE | 0.4% | 228.81 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 32
PLACE
2 15
10 35
11 17.5
QUINELLA
2,11 69.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 80
2,11 30.5
10,11 95
FORECAST
2,11 139
TIERCE
2,11,10 802
TRIO
2,10,11 241
FIRST 4
2,9,10,11 222
QUARTET
2,11,10,9 3,024
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,7/2,10,11 2,163
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 18.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
5/2 201.5
5/11 28