跑馬地 · 2020-12-09
第 3場
2020-12-09跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的INCANTO PREPARED勝出，贏出1-1/4。ZHAN JIANG ROCKS獲得亞軍；FAST PACE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | INCANTO PREPARED 後段發力 E/TT 1.40.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 3.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS 後段發力 TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 6 | 5.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | FAST PACE 後段發力 H/P N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 4 | 3.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | CHARITY WINGS 後段發力 B A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 1 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | BLOOMING SPIRIT 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | SHANGHAI GRACE C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 8 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | BIG BANG BONG 後段發力 TT H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 9 | 73.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | BULLETPROOF 後段發力 B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 11 | 8.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | NATURAL WINNER 早段領放 CP/TT K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 12 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT W Buick · A S Cruz | W Buick | A S Cruz | 10 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | RED MAJESTY CP T Marquand · D A Hayes | T Marquand | D A Hayes | 5 | 81.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 7 | 248.0 | 10 |
| — | 0 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | INCANTO PREPARED | 30.8% | 3.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | BULLETPROOF | 12.8% | 7.79 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 11.6% | 8.59 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | FAST PACE | 10.6% | 9.40 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 8.2% | 12.16 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | BLOOMING SPIRIT | 7.2% | 13.86 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | NATURAL WINNER | 6.3% | 15.89 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 6.0% | 16.71 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | CHARITY WINGS | 4.2% | 23.53 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | BIG BANG BONG | 1.0% | 104.97 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | RED MAJESTY | 0.7% | 139.30 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS | 0.4% | 243.59 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 32
PLACE
1 17.5
4 15
5 14
QUINELLA
1,5 102
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 41
1,5 37.5
4,5 25
FORECAST
5,1 146
TIERCE
5,1,4 352
TRIO
1,4,5 78
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 91
QUARTET
5,1,4,3 1,299
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
5/1 13.5
5/5 46
12/1 78
12/5 307.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 24.5
A3 —