跑馬地 · 2021-01-20
第 9場
2021-01-20跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的IGNITING勝出，贏出2。LOVING A BOOM獲得亞軍；BEAUTY KOBE獲得季軍。頭馬以3.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | IGNITING B/TT- 1.08.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 3.4 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | LOVING A BOOM TT C Soumillon · R Gibson | C Soumillon | R Gibson | 6 | 5.1 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | BEAUTY KOBE H1 M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 4 | 29.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | WIND N GRASS TT C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 5 | 9.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | BABY B V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 1 | 7.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | FALCON TURBO B/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | HERE COMES TED K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 5.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SNAP FIT B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 11 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 12 | 47.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | MAGIC LEGEND CP K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 83.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SMOOTHIES B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 10 | 41.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | KINDA COOL B J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 8 | 7.3 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KINDA COOL | 28.1% | 3.56 | 12 |
| 2 | 10 | IGNITING | 23.8% | 4.21 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | HERE COMES TED | 9.2% | 10.86 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | BABY | 7.8% | 12.80 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | LOVING A BOOM | 7.0% | 14.29 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | WIND N GRASS | 6.0% | 16.63 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 4.7% | 21.36 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | SNAP FIT | 4.0% | 25.21 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | BEAUTY KOBE | 3.7% | 27.11 | 3 |
| 10 | 3 | FALCON TURBO | 3.1% | 31.94 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | SMOOTHIES | 1.7% | 57.99 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | MAGIC LEGEND | 0.9% | 111.80 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 34.5
PLACE
1 16.5
9 79
10 15
QUINELLA
1,10 110.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 321.5
1,10 39.5
9,10 174.5
FORECAST
10,1 246
TIERCE
10,1,9 3,330
TRIO
1,9,10 809
FIRST 4
1,5,9,10 1,973
QUARTET
10,1,9,5 30,059
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,11/1,9,10 503,500
8TH DOUBLE
3/1 49
3/10 310
SIX UP
1,2/2,3/2,7/6,11/2,3/1,10 1,047
1/3/7/11/3/10 94,211
2 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
11/3/1 247
11/3/10 1,391