跑馬地 · 2021-01-27
第 4場
2021-01-27跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的EVER FORCE勝出，贏出N。PEAK TO PEAK獲得亞軍；HAPPY TANGO獲得季軍。頭馬以1.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EVER FORCE B/TT 1.09.92 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 1.6 | N |
| 2 | 9 | PEAK TO PEAK SR J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 9 | 8.4 | N |
| 3 | 12 | HAPPY TANGO B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | ROMANTIC TROVE TT1 C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 12 | 41.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | NOBLE BOYZ K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | CIGAR BUDDIES CP/H M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | PHENOMENAL COMBO H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 5 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | HELAKU KNIGHT H B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 8 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | TOP SCORE B2/TT A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 10 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | CHAMP PATROL H K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 6 | 9.7 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | SACRED GIANT T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 11 | 91.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | WIN TECH K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 56.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EVER FORCE | 22.5% | 4.44 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | PEAK TO PEAK | 20.4% | 4.90 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | CHAMP PATROL | 14.9% | 6.70 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | HELAKU KNIGHT | 8.4% | 11.93 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | NOBLE BOYZ | 5.9% | 16.83 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | HAPPY TANGO | 5.8% | 17.39 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | ROMANTIC TROVE | 5.1% | 19.44 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | SACRED GIANT | 4.5% | 22.39 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 3.9% | 25.77 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | TOP SCORE | 3.2% | 30.88 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | PHENOMENAL COMBO | 3.2% | 31.14 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | WIN TECH | 2.1% | 46.65 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 16
PLACE
4 13
9 21
12 34
QUINELLA
4,9 61.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 32.5
4,12 65
9,12 177
FORECAST
4,9 114
TIERCE
4,9,12 1,092
TRIO
4,9,12 381
FIRST 4
4,9,10,12 1,962
QUARTET
4,9,12,10 17,242
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 13.5
3RD DOUBLE
8/4 2,070.5
8/9 1,206