跑馬地 · 2021-01-27
第 7場
2021-01-27跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Soumillon策騎、F C Lor訓練的WE THE SOUTH勝出，贏出1/2。FLYING GENIUS獲得亞軍；SAUL'S SPECIAL獲得季軍。頭馬以3.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB 0.56.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Soumillon · F C Lor | C Soumillon | F C Lor | 3 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | FLYING GENIUS B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 7.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | SAUL'S SPECIAL H-/B T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 10 | 37.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | KURPANY TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 4.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | KAI XIN DRAGON K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 8.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | HARMONY AND RICH C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 6 | 5.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | WILD WEST WING A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | MAN STAR B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 4 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | NORDIC WELLSTAR C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 41.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | YOUNG PASSION B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 12 | 150.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | ORION PATCH PC-/B2/TT- M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 1 | 80.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 22.2% | 4.51 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | KURPANY | 19.7% | 5.07 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | WE THE SOUTH | 14.2% | 7.03 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | FLYING GENIUS | 12.0% | 8.35 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | HARMONY AND RICH | 8.8% | 11.30 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | KAI XIN DRAGON | 7.9% | 12.59 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | MAN STAR | 4.5% | 22.10 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | WILD WEST WING | 3.4% | 29.01 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 3.4% | 29.44 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | ORION PATCH | 1.5% | 64.77 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | YOUNG PASSION | 1.4% | 72.34 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | NORDIC WELLSTAR | 0.8% | 125.96 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 36
PLACE
2 97.5
3 26.5
4 14.5
QUINELLA
3,4 121.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 470.5
2,4 278
3,4 51
FORECAST
4,3 310
TIERCE
4,3,2 5,059
TRIO
2,3,4 1,587
FIRST 4
2,3,4,6 1,609
QUARTET
4,3,2,6 42,730
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,11/2,3,4 413,671
3 PICK 1
A1 21.5
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
8/3 97
8/4 485.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5>3,10/4,8,11/Any Combination 69,293