跑馬地 · 2021-02-24
第 5場
2021-02-24跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、D J Whyte訓練的HARMONY FIRE勝出，贏出N。CANTSTOPTHEFEELING獲得亞軍；MY MY MY獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門FORTUNE CARRIER跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE XB 0.57.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 11 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 9 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | MY MY MY XB K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | VIVA CHEF B K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 4 | 9.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | INFINITE POWER V- M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 5 | 34.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | VERY SWEET ORANGE V T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 6 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | RAGING BLAZE TT1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | GOUTEN OF GARO B/TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 10 | 60.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | FORTUNE CARRIER B/TT- Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 3.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | TOWARDS SUCCESS H1 A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | TWINX M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 2 | 105.0 | 18-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MY MY MY | 27.7% | 3.61 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | RAGING BLAZE | 22.2% | 4.51 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 10.9% | 9.20 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | VIVA CHEF | 8.9% | 11.25 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE | 6.9% | 14.49 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 5.0% | 20.01 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 4.9% | 20.21 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 4.4% | 22.97 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | TWINX | 3.4% | 29.59 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | INFINITE POWER | 2.2% | 46.01 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | VERY SWEET ORANGE | 2.0% | 49.62 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | GOUTEN OF GARO | 1.6% | 62.18 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 101
PLACE
1 29.5
2 15.5
3 29.5
QUINELLA
1,3 480
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 97
1,3 161.5
2,3 69
FORECAST
3,1 782
TIERCE
3,1,2 4,122
TRIO
1,2,3 641
FIRST 4
1,2,3,10 522
QUARTET
3,1,2,10 16,539
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,9/1,2,3 22,569
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 36
4TH DOUBLE
1/1 120
1/3 518