跑馬地 · 2021-02-24
第 7場
2021-02-24跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的DAILY BEAUTY勝出，贏出1/2。HERO STAR獲得亞軍；WINNING FEELING獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DAILY BEAUTY TT 1.09.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | HERO STAR TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | WINNING FEELING B A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 5 | 4.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | SMART HUNTER B/XB T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 3 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | WON BALL TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 34.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | MUDITA A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 8 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | COLONEL V C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 10 | 39.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | RED IMPACT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 7 | 53.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | MISTER ARM B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 6 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | CARRY THE DIAMOND P-/PC1 V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 4 | 7.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | HAPPY PROFIT TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 12 | 11.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DAILY BEAUTY | 46.2% | 2.17 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | HAPPY PROFIT | 9.9% | 10.06 | 12 |
| 3 | 10 | COURAGEOUS DRAGON | 7.0% | 14.37 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | COLONEL | 5.7% | 17.69 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | WINNING FEELING | 5.6% | 17.90 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | WON BALL | 4.7% | 21.17 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 4.6% | 21.62 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | MUDITA | 4.6% | 21.71 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | RED IMPACT | 4.1% | 24.51 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | HERO STAR | 3.5% | 28.95 | 2 |
| 11 | 8 | MISTER ARM | 2.8% | 36.22 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | SMART HUNTER | 1.4% | 69.56 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 30.5
PLACE
2 18.5
3 14
12 46
QUINELLA
3,12 332
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 35.5
2,12 135.5
3,12 113.5
FORECAST
3,12 591
TIERCE
3,12,2 3,151
TRIO
2,3,12 474
FIRST 4
2,3,9,12 1,562
QUARTET
3,12,2,9 34,512
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,9/2,3,12 8,458
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17.5
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
9/3 114
9/12 175
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,3/2,5,9/2,3,12 803,358
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,3/2,5,9/Any Combination 855