跑馬地 · 2021-03-03
第 5場
2021-03-03跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的HURRY HURRY GAIN勝出，贏出1-3/4。SPRINT FORWARD獲得亞軍；FORTUNE HERO獲得季軍。4.2倍大熱門SUPERB DADDY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HURRY HURRY GAIN 1.10.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | SPRINT FORWARD CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 6 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | FORTUNE HERO B/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 7 | 7.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SUPERB DADDY A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 4 | 4.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SHINING ON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 8.1 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 10 | 8.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | KING'S TROOPER B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | ALLEZ B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 2 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | BOND A STAR TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 3 | 46.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | STREET SCREAM M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 11.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | RUBY STARS B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 12 | 147.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | HAPPY RUBY H/P/XB/TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 11 | 185.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HURRY HURRY GAIN | 30.0% | 3.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | FORTUNE HERO | 12.9% | 7.74 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | SHINING ON | 11.5% | 8.71 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | STREET SCREAM | 10.5% | 9.48 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPERB DADDY | 9.6% | 10.41 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | SPRINT FORWARD | 9.5% | 10.49 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | KING'S TROOPER | 6.3% | 15.77 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR | 5.9% | 16.95 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | ALLEZ | 1.7% | 58.59 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | BOND A STAR | 1.0% | 97.30 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | RUBY STARS | 0.5% | 197.83 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | HAPPY RUBY | 0.5% | 214.42 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 51
PLACE
1 25.5
5 21
12 22.5
QUINELLA
1,5 243.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 84.5
1,12 88.5
5,12 66.5
FORECAST
5,1 478
TIERCE
5,1,12 2,796
TRIO
1,5,12 495
FIRST 4
1,4,5,12 539
QUARTET
5,1,12,4 13,240
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,8/1,5,12 110,429
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 23
4TH DOUBLE
1/1 274
1/5 928