Happy Valley · 2021-03-03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HURRY HURRY GAIN 1.10.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 6 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE HERO B/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 7 | 7.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 4 | 4.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SHINING ON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 8.1 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 10 | 8.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | KING'S TROOPER B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ALLEZ B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 2 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BOND A STAR TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 3 | 46.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | STREET SCREAM M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 11.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | RUBY STARS B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 12 | 147.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY RUBY H/P/XB/TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 11 | 185.0 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-03-03 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HURRY HURRY GAIN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-3/4, with SPRINT FORWARD second and FORTUNE HERO third. The 4.2 favourite SUPERB DADDY finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HURRY HURRY GAIN | 30.0% | 3.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | FORTUNE HERO | 12.9% | 7.74 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SHINING ON | 11.5% | 8.71 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | STREET SCREAM | 10.5% | 9.48 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 9.6% | 10.41 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SPRINT FORWARD | 9.5% | 10.49 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | KING'S TROOPER | 6.3% | 15.77 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR | 5.9% | 16.95 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | ALLEZ | 1.7% | 58.59 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | BOND A STAR | 1.0% | 97.30 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | RUBY STARS | 0.5% | 197.83 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY RUBY | 0.5% | 214.42 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 51
PLACE
1 25.5
5 21
12 22.5
QUINELLA
1,5 243.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 84.5
1,12 88.5
5,12 66.5
FORECAST
5,1 478
TIERCE
5,1,12 2,796
TRIO
1,5,12 495
FIRST 4
1,4,5,12 539
QUARTET
5,1,12,4 13,240
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,8/1,5,12 110,429
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 23
4TH DOUBLE
1/1 274
1/5 928