Happy Valley · 2021-03-03
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS Closed strongly B 1.40.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 2 | 11.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | TAILOR MADE Closed strongly V1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 3.1 | N |
| 3 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS B/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 4 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS Closed strongly CP/H B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG Closed strongly B1 H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 1 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GALAXY RACER Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 5 | 5.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR Closed strongly E/CP1/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED Closed strongly A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 11 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS B T Piccone · K H Ting | T Piccone | K H Ting | 10 | 129.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BABY STORM Led early H/P/TT A Hamelin · L Ho | A Hamelin | L Ho | 9 | 22.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY TURBO B/TT R Maia · A S Cruz | R Maia | A S Cruz | 12 | 70.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA B2 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 35.0 | 15-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-03-03 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ALL BEST FRIENDS, ridden by H W Lai and trained by K L Man, won by N, with TAILOR MADE second and NITRO EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite TAILOR MADE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GALAXY RACER | 31.3% | 3.19 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | BABY STORM | 12.4% | 8.08 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 11.4% | 8.75 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY HOUR | 10.0% | 10.01 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS | 9.1% | 11.00 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 7.3% | 13.63 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS | 5.7% | 17.43 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA | 3.6% | 27.56 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED | 2.9% | 34.23 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG | 2.9% | 34.83 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY TURBO | 2.4% | 41.83 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | CAN'T TOUCH THIS | 0.9% | 109.81 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 119.5
PLACE
2 31.5
3 15.5
11 15.5
QUINELLA
2,3 237.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 79.5
2,11 86.5
3,11 29.5
FORECAST
2,3 548
TIERCE
2,3,11 2,782
TRIO
2,3,11 294
FIRST 4
2,3,9,11 499
QUARTET
2,3,11,9 15,250
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 35.5
A1 —
A2 —