Happy Valley · 2021-03-03
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE Closed strongly 1.49.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 9 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | METHANE Closed strongly K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 5 | 5.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | DONC JE SUIS Closed strongly B B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 7 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BRIGHT VISION Led early R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 6 | 35.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SMART COUSIN Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 3.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA B/TT V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 8.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY Closed strongly XB T Piccone · C Fownes | T Piccone | C Fownes | 10 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 11 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN P C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 7.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | RED ELYSEES B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 12 | 20.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY H M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 8 | 40.0 | 8-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-03-03 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. DYNAMIC EAGLE, ridden by A Badel and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with METHANE second and DONC JE SUIS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite SMART COUSIN finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 24.2% | 4.14 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 15.3% | 6.52 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 12.7% | 7.87 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | METHANE | 10.9% | 9.16 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 10.0% | 10.03 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE | 5.1% | 19.55 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | DONC JE SUIS | 4.6% | 21.56 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN | 4.3% | 23.00 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 4.2% | 23.55 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 3.3% | 30.36 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY | 3.0% | 32.86 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | BRIGHT VISION | 2.2% | 45.03 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 121
PLACE
1 28.5
2 19.5
8 36
QUINELLA
1,2 374
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 117
1,8 247
2,8 130
FORECAST
1,2 1,017
TIERCE
1,2,8 12,039
TRIO
1,2,8 1,554
FIRST 4
1,2,5,8 11,705
QUARTET
1,2,8,5 340,490
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 29.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/1 1,072
3/2 104