Happy Valley · 2021-03-03
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WEALTHY DELIGHT Closed strongly 1.40.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 2.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 4.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | KING OPIE Closed strongly V T Piccone · F C Lor | T Piccone | F C Lor | 4 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR Closed strongly B1/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 7 | 35.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SMOOTHIES Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 2 | 6.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HARDLY SWEARS Closed strongly M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 39.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 10 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | INDICATIVE VOTE Closed strongly XB1 B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 8 | 113.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HARMONY SPIRIT Closed strongly CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | PARTERRE Led early B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 3 | 46.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 11 | 12.0 | 19-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | YO BEAUTY TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 12 | 93.0 | 25-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2021-03-03 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. WEALTHY DELIGHT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with ROYAL BOMB second and KING OPIE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WEALTHY DELIGHT | 31.0% | 3.23 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB | 25.8% | 3.87 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 9.0% | 11.07 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | SMOOTHIES | 8.0% | 12.51 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 6.7% | 14.92 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 5.4% | 18.54 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR | 3.6% | 27.52 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | YO BEAUTY | 2.9% | 34.46 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | HARDLY SWEARS | 2.8% | 35.79 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | KING OPIE | 2.7% | 36.94 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | PARTERRE | 1.2% | 86.90 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | INDICATIVE VOTE | 0.9% | 115.54 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 20.5
PLACE
4 50
5 17
8 11
QUINELLA
5,8 49.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 154.5
4,8 75
5,8 22.5
FORECAST
8,5 60
TIERCE
8,5,4 692
TRIO
4,5,8 300
FIRST 4
4,5,6,8 1,105
QUARTET
8,5,4,6 9,939
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,6/4,5,8 3,765
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14.5
6TH DOUBLE
1/5 21
1/8 57
TRIPLE TRIO
1,5,12/1,4,6/4,5,8 361,202
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,5,12/1,4,6/Any Combination 1,433