Happy Valley · 2021-03-03
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FARSHAD Closed strongly CP 1.40.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 2.1 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SUNNY STAR Closed strongly A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 4 | 3.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | NOTHING NEW V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 3 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | NABOO STAR Closed strongly V-/B1/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 9 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TOTAL POWER Led early B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 6 | 174.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 8 | 28.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | PIANO SOLO Closed strongly XB-/TT- M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 12 | 115.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 2 | 8.0 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | E STAR H- A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 5 | 25.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA CP1 M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 216.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 107.0 | 23 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-03-03 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FARSHAD, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with SAVAQUIN second and SUNNY STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite SAVAQUIN finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUNNY STAR | 31.4% | 3.18 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SAVAQUIN | 26.1% | 3.83 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 12.8% | 7.81 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | FARSHAD | 6.5% | 15.45 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | NOTHING NEW | 5.6% | 17.88 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | NABOO STAR | 4.5% | 22.46 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | E STAR | 3.5% | 28.29 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 3.5% | 28.95 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SURREALISM | 2.6% | 39.08 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 2.0% | 50.65 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | PIANO SOLO | 1.0% | 95.65 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 0.5% | 188.52 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 101
PLACE
1 13.5
4 12.5
12 23
QUINELLA
1,12 123
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 18
1,12 42.5
4,12 39
FORECAST
12,1 377
TIERCE
12,1,4 1,037
TRIO
1,4,12 74
FIRST 4
1,4,11,12 290
QUARTET
12,1,4,11 11,728
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 35
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,11/1,4,12 1,109
8TH DOUBLE
4/1 12
4/12 411
SIX UP
1,2/1,5/1,4/5,8/4,11/1,12 463
1/5/1/8/4/12 76,481
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
8/4/1 11
8/4/12 1,037