跑馬地 · 2021-03-10
第 3場
2021-03-10跑馬地第3場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的FANTASTIC FABIO勝出，贏出1-1/4。WONDER BRAHMA獲得亞軍；SMART CHARADE獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門SMART CHARADE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FANTASTIC FABIO 1.10.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 8 | 8.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | WONDER BRAHMA B1/H2 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SMART CHARADE B/H/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 4.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | TIGERLAD B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 12 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | VEGA RHYTHM CP-/H/B1/TT- M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 10 | 36.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | SHANGHAI POWER M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 5 | 7.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | KA FORTUNE B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 5.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | AFTER ME B H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 2 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | UNIVERSAL CROWN CP/XB M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 4 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | JADE THEATRE B N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 9 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | LUCKY VICTOR B1/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 3 | 36.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH B/TT C Y Ho · R Gibson | C Y Ho | R Gibson | 11 | 59.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KA FORTUNE | 20.5% | 4.88 | 7 |
| 2 | 12 | WONDER BRAHMA | 17.9% | 5.58 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | SMART CHARADE | 14.1% | 7.11 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | TIGERLAD | 9.1% | 11.04 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 7.7% | 13.00 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | AFTER ME | 7.2% | 13.91 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 5.3% | 19.03 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | JADE THEATRE | 4.9% | 20.43 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | SHANGHAI POWER | 4.8% | 20.72 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH | 3.9% | 25.55 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | VEGA RHYTHM | 2.8% | 35.32 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | LUCKY VICTOR | 1.9% | 52.90 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 83.5
PLACE
2 17.5
6 28.5
12 16
QUINELLA
6,12 180
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 66.5
2,12 37.5
6,12 69.5
FORECAST
6,12 406
TIERCE
6,12,2 1,314
TRIO
2,6,12 210
FIRST 4
2,6,10,12 939
QUARTET
6,12,2,10 13,943
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
1/6 400
1/12 85.5
3 PICK 1
A1 27.5
A2 —
A3 —