跑馬地 · 2021-03-10
第 5場
2021-03-10跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、K W Lui訓練的STOCK LEGEND勝出，贏出3/4。WHISKEY NEAT獲得亞軍；ROMANTIC TROVE獲得季軍。頭馬以1.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STOCK LEGEND H/TT 1.09.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 2 | 1.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | WHISKEY NEAT B-/H/V1/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 9.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | ROMANTIC TROVE TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | HAPPILY FRIENDS H C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 8 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SAM'S LOVE B2/TT N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 5 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL B/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 1 | 52.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 7 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | LOTUS FAVORITES M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 208.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 7.5 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | EXUBERANT B1/TT1 A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 4 | 89.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | JOYFUL MOMENTS H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 12 | 247.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | VECTOR B/H/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 46.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STOCK LEGEND | 47.1% | 2.13 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | WHISKEY NEAT | 11.4% | 8.78 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | ROMANTIC TROVE | 10.2% | 9.85 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 7.7% | 12.99 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 7.3% | 13.66 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | SAM'S LOVE | 4.8% | 20.70 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | EXUBERANT | 4.2% | 23.79 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 3.0% | 33.32 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | VECTOR | 1.8% | 55.27 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 1.0% | 98.17 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | LOTUS FAVORITES | 0.9% | 110.92 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | JOYFUL MOMENTS | 0.6% | 160.64 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 18.5
PLACE
1 11
2 22.5
6 15
QUINELLA
1,2 78.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 31
1,6 18.5
2,6 43.5
FORECAST
1,2 115
TIERCE
1,2,6 269
TRIO
1,2,6 63
FIRST 4
1,2,6,9 105
QUARTET
1,2,6,9 1,320
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,10/1,2,6 894
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
10/1 111
10/2 72.5