Happy Valley · 2021-03-10
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-03-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. STOCK LEGEND, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with WHISKEY NEAT second and ROMANTIC TROVE third. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STOCK LEGEND H/TT 1.09.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 2 | 1.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | WHISKEY NEAT B-/H/V1/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 9.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | ROMANTIC TROVE TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | HAPPILY FRIENDS H C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 8 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SAM'S LOVE B2/TT N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 5 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL B/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 1 | 52.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 7 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | LOTUS FAVORITES M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 208.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 7.5 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | EXUBERANT B1/TT1 A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 4 | 89.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | JOYFUL MOMENTS H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 12 | 247.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | VECTOR B/H/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 46.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STOCK LEGEND | 47.1% | 2.13 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | WHISKEY NEAT | 11.4% | 8.78 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | ROMANTIC TROVE | 10.2% | 9.85 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 7.7% | 12.99 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 7.3% | 13.66 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | SAM'S LOVE | 4.8% | 20.70 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | EXUBERANT | 4.2% | 23.79 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 3.0% | 33.32 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | VECTOR | 1.8% | 55.27 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 1.0% | 98.17 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | LOTUS FAVORITES | 0.9% | 110.92 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | JOYFUL MOMENTS | 0.6% | 160.64 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 18.5
PLACE
1 11
2 22.5
6 15
QUINELLA
1,2 78.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 31
1,6 18.5
2,6 43.5
FORECAST
1,2 115
TIERCE
1,2,6 269
TRIO
1,2,6 63
FIRST 4
1,2,6,9 105
QUARTET
1,2,6,9 1,320
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,10/1,2,6 894
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
10/1 111
10/2 72.5