Happy Valley · 2021-03-10
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI Closed strongly B 1.48.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 7 | 7.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | FAST PACE Closed strongly H J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 2.3 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM Closed strongly CP/H/TT R Maia · A S Cruz | R Maia | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 11 | 5.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS Closed strongly M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 38.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 2 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR B/TT N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 9 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 5 | 56.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS Led early B/XB K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 7.3 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE CP A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 1 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CASIMIRO M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 33.0 | 6-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2021-03-10 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. XIANG BAI QI, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D E Ferraris, won by 2, with FAST PACE second and GOLDEN SPECTRUM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite FAST PACE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FAST PACE | 44.2% | 2.26 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 20.0% | 5.00 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 5.6% | 17.75 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE | 4.6% | 21.69 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR | 4.5% | 22.00 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | CASIMIRO | 4.4% | 22.78 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI | 4.2% | 23.56 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS | 3.7% | 26.80 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 3.6% | 27.78 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS | 2.8% | 35.30 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 2.2% | 45.82 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 79
PLACE
2 30
10 12.5
11 22.5
QUINELLA
10,11 101
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 80.5
2,11 154
10,11 38
FORECAST
11,10 243
TIERCE
11,10,2 2,239
TRIO
2,10,11 407
FIRST 4
2,6,10,11 268
QUARTET
11,10,2,6 8,382
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,11/2,10,11 29,618
3 PICK 1
A2 31
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
11/10 38
11/11 459.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,6/3,8,11/2,10,11 133,980
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,6/3,8,11/Any Combination 747