Happy Valley · 2021-03-10
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-03-10 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SHOUSON, ridden by M F Poon and trained by A T Millard, won by SH, with HIGH RISE SOLDIER second and AURORA PEGASUS third. The 3.2 favourite KA YING MASTER finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SHOUSON B 1.09.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 8 | 7.9 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 6.5 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | AURORA PEGASUS TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 4.0 | N |
| 4 | 12 | NORDIC WARRIOR B K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 5 | 7.6 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | HARRIER JET B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 81.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | YOUNG LEGEND H/TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 3 | 50.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | KA YING MASTER TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 2 | 3.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | STRIVE FOR GLORY XB1/TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 1 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | HERCULES B/XB/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 37.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | UTOPIA LIFE V K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 7 | 89.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 11 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H/TT R Maia · A S Cruz | R Maia | A S Cruz | 4 | 126.0 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING MASTER | 21.7% | 4.62 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | AURORA PEGASUS | 19.0% | 5.26 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 14.7% | 6.80 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 11.4% | 8.79 | 11 |
| 5 | 12 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 8.2% | 12.16 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 6.9% | 14.40 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | SHOUSON | 6.3% | 15.92 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | HERCULES | 4.5% | 22.09 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | UTOPIA LIFE | 3.1% | 32.46 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | YOUNG LEGEND | 2.2% | 44.65 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | HARRIER JET | 1.4% | 72.00 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 0.6% | 167.99 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 79
PLACE
6 19.5
8 24
9 16.5
QUINELLA
6,8 270.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 84
6,9 58
8,9 86.5
FORECAST
8,6 647
TIERCE
8,6,9 3,067
TRIO
6,8,9 478
FIRST 4
6,8,9,12 423
QUARTET
8,6,9,12 13,047
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 20
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,7/6,8,9 133,660
8TH DOUBLE
2/6 97
2/8 751.5
SIX UP
8,10/1,2/3,11/10,11/2,6/6,8 3,034
10/1/11/11/2/8 202,345
4 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
11/2/6 745
11/2/8 5,243