Happy Valley · 2021-03-10
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2021-03-10 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WIND N GRASS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with KINDA COOL second and ALCARI third. The 1.4 favourite CAPITAL STAR finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WIND N GRASS TT 1.09.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 8.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | KINDA COOL B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 8.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | ALCARI V R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 12 | 38.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | CAPITAL STAR J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 1.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | STANLEY PARK B B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 7 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | WHAT A LEGEND B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 5 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | STARZ HERO B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 11 | 63.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPER POWER MAN M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 148.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | FIRST RESPONDER B A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 2 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 8 | 69.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | BEAUTY AMIGO B M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 1 | 51.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | MERIDIAN GENIUS CP K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 4 | 56.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CAPITAL STAR | 35.0% | 2.86 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | WIND N GRASS | 16.2% | 6.18 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | KINDA COOL | 13.5% | 7.43 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | FIRST RESPONDER | 6.8% | 14.71 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | STANLEY PARK | 6.7% | 14.95 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | ALCARI | 4.9% | 20.53 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | WHAT A LEGEND | 4.1% | 24.54 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPER POWER MAN | 3.9% | 25.42 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | STARZ HERO | 3.1% | 32.49 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 2.1% | 48.66 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 2.0% | 50.69 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 1.9% | 53.50 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 85
PLACE
2 18.5
6 21.5
7 62.5
QUINELLA
2,6 267
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 68.5
2,7 245.5
6,7 316
FORECAST
2,6 682
TIERCE
2,6,7 8,538
TRIO
2,6,7 2,711
FIRST 4
2,4,6,7 424
QUARTET
2,6,7,4 22,367
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 32.5
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
11/2 496.5
11/6 137