跑馬地 · 2021-03-10
第 6場
2021-03-10跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、R Gibson訓練的TRAVEL DATUK勝出，贏出1/2。VICTORY IN HAND獲得亞軍；SPICY SO GOOD獲得季軍。5.5倍大熱門FLAMING PASSION跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TRAVEL DATUK B 0.57.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 6 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | VICTORY IN HAND TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 9.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | SPICY SO GOOD B1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 7.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | FLAMING PASSION TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 10 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | JOLLY GOOD HEART K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 5 | 7.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | JOYFUL WIN B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 6.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | TELECOM PUMA CP1/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | LEGEND GOES B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 91.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | U W BROTHER A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 2 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | MAGIC BONUS B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 144.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/H/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 1 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | PICHU H/XB1/TT N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 7 | 132.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | U W BROTHER | 20.0% | 5.01 | 9 |
| 2 | 5 | FLAMING PASSION | 15.5% | 6.44 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | JOYFUL WIN | 13.0% | 7.68 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | JOLLY GOOD HEART | 10.4% | 9.60 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | TELECOM PUMA | 9.1% | 10.94 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | VICTORY IN HAND | 8.4% | 11.86 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | TRAVEL DATUK | 8.0% | 12.46 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 6.6% | 15.22 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | SPICY SO GOOD | 5.8% | 17.28 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | LEGEND GOES | 1.6% | 63.04 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | PICHU | 1.0% | 101.40 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | MAGIC BONUS | 0.5% | 183.87 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 68.5
PLACE
3 28
8 34.5
11 18.5
QUINELLA
3,11 299.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 150
3,11 83.5
8,11 154
FORECAST
11,3 496
TIERCE
11,3,8 5,722
TRIO
3,8,11 1,075
FIRST 4
3,5,8,11 755
QUARTET
11,3,8,5 20,991
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 30.5
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 29
1/11 114