沙田 · 2021-03-31
第 1場
2021-03-31沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、A T Millard訓練的LITTLE THUNDER勝出，贏出2-1/2。THE ABRAXAS獲得亞軍；KA YING BRILLIANCE獲得季軍。頭馬以3.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LITTLE THUNDER B 1.09.65 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 9 | 3.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | THE ABRAXAS B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 6 | 6.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | KA YING BRILLIANCE H/V/XB M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 2 | 37.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | EVER STRONG B-/P2 K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 7 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY B/TT1 C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 5 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | SMART CHARADE B/H/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 3 | 6.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 11 | 61.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | WINNING STRIKES CP/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 5.9 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | FOR FUN'S SAKE TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 8 | 27.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | ATHENA CP-/TT C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 12 | 41.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | RED MAJESTY B/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 4 | 28.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | DR PROACTIVE J Moreira · K H Ting | J Moreira | K H Ting | 10 | 7.9 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SMART CHARADE | 23.1% | 4.34 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | LITTLE THUNDER | 18.5% | 5.41 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | DR PROACTIVE | 11.8% | 8.48 | 12 |
| 4 | 5 | WINNING STRIKES | 9.6% | 10.42 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | THE ABRAXAS | 8.4% | 11.84 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY | 6.7% | 14.97 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 5.4% | 18.38 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 4.8% | 20.76 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | ATHENA | 4.1% | 24.40 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | FOX CHEUNGER | 3.5% | 28.27 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | EVER STRONG | 2.6% | 39.16 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | RED MAJESTY | 1.5% | 65.96 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 34
PLACE
1 13
9 22.5
12 100.5
QUINELLA
1,9 103
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 42.5
1,12 171
9,12 310.5
FORECAST
1,9 205
TIERCE
1,9,12 4,124
TRIO
1,9,12 991
FIRST 4
1,9,10,12 2,767
QUARTET
1,9,12,10 38,335
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 22
A2 —