沙田 · 2021-03-31
第 7場
2021-03-31沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由A Badel策騎、K L Man訓練的MAGIC SUPREME勝出，贏出1-1/4。GOLD COMET獲得亞軍；JUST NOT LISTENING獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門SUPER ALLIANCES跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MAGIC SUPREME CP/TT 1.08.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 10 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | GOLD COMET CP-/B1 C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 2 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | JUST NOT LISTENING V N Callan · T P Yung | N Callan | T P Yung | 11 | 32.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | SUNNY DELIGHT B1/TT1 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPER ALLIANCES P M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 4 | 3.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | VIVA CHEF B M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 1 | 6.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H1/TT1 J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 6 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | MIGHTY POWER B-/CP1 C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 8 | 9.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SPLIT OF A SECOND CP C Wong · W Y So | C Wong | W Y So | 3 | 63.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | HERO TIME B T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 9 | 114.0 | 16-3/4 |
| — | 3 | FLYING ON THE TURF K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | VIVA CHEF | 31.0% | 3.23 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 13.2% | 7.55 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 9.3% | 10.79 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 9.2% | 10.83 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | MAGIC SUPREME | 8.6% | 11.63 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | MIGHTY POWER | 6.7% | 14.87 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | GOLD COMET | 6.2% | 16.20 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 5.1% | 19.76 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 4.3% | 23.15 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | HERO TIME | 3.4% | 29.20 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 3.0% | 33.84 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 47.5
PLACE
2 65
5 18.5
10 20
QUINELLA
5,10 133.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 196.5
2,10 282
5,10 52.5
FORECAST
5,10 299
TIERCE
5,10,2 5,563
TRIO
2,5,10 1,356
FIRST 4
2,5,6,10 3,307
QUARTET
5,10,2,6 55,229
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,11/2,5,10 23,846
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 21
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
11/5 113
11/10 32.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,10/2,3,11/2,5,10 682,309
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,10/2,3,11/Any Combination 332