沙田 · 2021-03-31
第 9場
2021-03-31沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的GLORIOUS ARTIST勝出，贏出N。PRECIOUSSHIP獲得亞軍；HONGKONG GREAT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門ELUSIVE STATE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GLORIOUS ARTIST 後段發力 1.37.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 5.3 | N |
| 2 | 4 | PRECIOUSSHIP 後段發力 XB T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 6 | 33.0 | N |
| 3 | 8 | HONGKONG GREAT B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 11 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | ELUSIVE STATE 後段發力 B/TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 1 | 3.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | KINGS SHIELD 早段領放 CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | RED DESERT C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 10 | 9.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT CP/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 後段發力 XB A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 2 | 13.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | MAGNIFICENT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 5 | 14.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | HOLY HEART 後段發力 PC/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 4 | 31.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | ENCORE BOY B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 21.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ELUSIVE STATE | 19.7% | 5.07 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | HONGKONG GREAT | 17.6% | 5.69 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | HOLY HEART | 16.3% | 6.15 | 10 |
| 4 | 3 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 8.2% | 12.19 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 7.9% | 12.62 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 7.3% | 13.67 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | RED DESERT | 6.3% | 15.99 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | ENCORE BOY | 5.4% | 18.46 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | MAGNIFICENT | 5.4% | 18.59 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | KINGS SHIELD | 3.5% | 28.28 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 2.4% | 41.99 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 53
PLACE
3 17.5
4 72
8 19.5
QUINELLA
3,4 886.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 237.5
3,8 55
4,8 252
FORECAST
3,4 1,172
TIERCE
3,4,8 9,627
TRIO
3,4,8 1,552
FIRST 4
2,3,4,8 828
QUARTET
3,4,8,2 25,412
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 25.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,10/3,4,8 172,536
8TH DOUBLE
3/3 1,120.5
3/4 506
5/3 102.5
5/4 91
SIX UP
4,9/3,10/3,11/5,10/3,5/3,4 3,648
9/3/11/5/3/3 1,278,408
9/3/11/5/5/3 15,929
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
5/3/3 6,488
5/3/4 2,352
5/5/3 781
5/5/4 972