Sha Tin · 2021-03-31
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GLORIOUS ARTIST Closed strongly 1.37.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 5.3 | N |
| 2 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP Closed strongly XB T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 6 | 33.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | HONGKONG GREAT B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 11 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ELUSIVE STATE Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 1 | 3.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | KINGS SHIELD Led early CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RED DESERT C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 10 | 9.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT CP/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 2 | 13.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 5 | 14.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | HOLY HEART Closed strongly PC/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 4 | 31.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ENCORE BOY B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 21.0 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-31 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. GLORIOUS ARTIST, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with PRECIOUSSHIP second and HONGKONG GREAT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite ELUSIVE STATE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ELUSIVE STATE | 19.7% | 5.07 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | HONGKONG GREAT | 17.6% | 5.69 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | HOLY HEART | 16.3% | 6.15 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 8.2% | 12.19 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 7.9% | 12.62 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 7.3% | 13.67 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | RED DESERT | 6.3% | 15.99 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | ENCORE BOY | 5.4% | 18.46 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 5.4% | 18.59 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | KINGS SHIELD | 3.5% | 28.28 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 2.4% | 41.99 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 53
PLACE
3 17.5
4 72
8 19.5
QUINELLA
3,4 886.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 237.5
3,8 55
4,8 252
FORECAST
3,4 1,172
TIERCE
3,4,8 9,627
TRIO
3,4,8 1,552
FIRST 4
2,3,4,8 828
QUARTET
3,4,8,2 25,412
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 25.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,10/3,4,8 172,536
8TH DOUBLE
3/3 1,120.5
3/4 506
5/3 102.5
5/4 91
SIX UP
4,9/3,10/3,11/5,10/3,5/3,4 3,648
9/3/11/5/3/3 1,278,408
9/3/11/5/5/3 15,929
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
5/3/3 6,488
5/3/4 2,352
5/5/3 781
5/5/4 972