Sha Tin · 2021-03-31
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO B 1.09.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 1 | 2.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SEVEN HEAVENS B/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 8 | 4.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MERCURIAL H1/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 2 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | STRIKING MR C B/TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 3 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ZACIAN C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 5 | 93.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | DEMONS ROCK B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 6 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DOLLAR REWARD P/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BLOTTING PAPER B C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 7 | 8.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MAGIC BONUS B-/H1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 143.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART HUNTER B/XB T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 9 | 99.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDIE FLANKER B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 23.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPILY FRIENDS H K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 12 | 10.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-31 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. HAPPY TANGO, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1, with SEVEN HEAVENS second and MERCURIAL third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO | 31.5% | 3.17 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MERCURIAL | 19.3% | 5.19 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 9.5% | 10.58 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 8.8% | 11.38 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | DOLLAR REWARD | 7.6% | 13.13 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | DEMONS ROCK | 5.3% | 18.88 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDIE FLANKER | 4.9% | 20.49 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | BLOTTING PAPER | 4.1% | 24.54 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | STRIKING MR C | 3.8% | 26.30 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART HUNTER | 2.7% | 36.83 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | ZACIAN | 1.9% | 51.92 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | MAGIC BONUS | 0.7% | 147.60 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 27
PLACE
2 18
3 16
11 14
QUINELLA
3,11 71
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 53
2,11 34.5
3,11 31.5
FORECAST
11,3 145
TIERCE
11,3,2 437
TRIO
2,3,11 121
FIRST 4
2,3,4,11 752
QUARTET
11,3,2,4 8,261
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17.5
5TH DOUBLE
3/3 80.5
3/11 349.5