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Sha Tin · 2021-03-31

Race 2

Class 3 GOOD (AWT) 1800m 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.47.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Wire to wire B 1.47.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor 4 6.2 1
2 0 ELITE PATCH Closed strongly B/H/TT C L Chau · K W Lui 1 3.2 1
3 0 TANGMERE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 8 18.0 1-1/4
4 0 AWE Closed strongly XB/CP2 M L Yeung · D A Hayes 5 13.0 3
5 0 PARTY EVERYDAY H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 3 5.2 5-1/2
6 0 PING HAI TREASURE P J Moreira · J Size 9 3.7 8-1/4
7 0 VILLA FIONN B R Maia · P F Yiu 7 25.0 17-1/2
8 0 PARTERRE B K Teetan · A T Millard 6 12.0 23-1/4
9 0 GREAT TREASURE K C Leung · Y S Tsui 2 28.0 29-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-31 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by 1, with ELITE PATCH second and TANGMERE third. The winner led throughout. The 3.2 favourite ELITE PATCH finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S—2. ELITE PATCH+1L3. TANGMERE+1.25L4. AWE+3L5. PARTY EVERYDAY+5.5L6. PING HAI TREASURE+8.25L7. VILLA FIONN+17.5L8. PARTERRE+23.25L9. GREAT TREASURE+29.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick PING HAI TREASURE (27.4%) finished 6th — the winner ALL FOR ST PAUL'S was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PING HAI TREASURE 27.4% 3.64 6
2 0 PARTY EVERYDAY 22.3% 4.48 5
3 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 14.6% 6.84 1
4 0 ELITE PATCH 10.5% 9.52 2
5 0 TANGMERE 7.6% 13.24 3
6 0 AWE 7.4% 13.45 4
7 0 VILLA FIONN 5.5% 18.29 7
8 0 GREAT TREASURE 3.2% 30.81 9
9 0 PARTERRE 1.4% 71.58 8
PING HAI TREASUREPARTY EVERYDAYALL FOR ST PAUL'S — wonELITE PATCHTANGMEREAWEVILLA FIONNGREAT TREASUREPARTERRE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 62

PLACE

1 12

6 41

8 20

QUINELLA

1,8 83

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 78

1,8 28.5

6,8 125

FORECAST

8,1 182

TIERCE

8,1,6 1,947

TRIO

1,6,8 420

FIRST 4

1,6,8,9 588

QUARTET

8,1,6,9 11,792

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

1/1 23.5

1/8 255.5

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 —

A2 23.5