Sha Tin · 2021-03-31
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-03-31 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. GALLANT LEGACY, ridden by R Maia and trained by C W Chang, won by 2, with JADE PHOENIX second and HANDSOME REBEL third. The 3.3 favourite JADE PHOENIX finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GALLANT LEGACY SR-/TT 1.09.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 1 | 9.4 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | JADE PHOENIX B J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 2 | 3.3 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT- K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 7.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | THE BEST HERO V M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 6 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | THOU SHALL SING B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 5.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | GOODMANSHIP C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 51.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | COOLCELEB PC/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 3 | 6.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 8 | 47.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SEA MONARCH V/H1/TT- M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 72.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | COLONEL V K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 11 | 8.9 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | PICHU H/XB/TT T Piccone · K H Ting | T Piccone | K H Ting | 7 | 147.0 | 14 |
| — | 12 | SPEEDY OPTIMIST A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JADE PHOENIX | 54.0% | 1.85 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | THOU SHALL SING | 10.6% | 9.45 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | COOLCELEB | 6.0% | 16.59 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | COLONEL | 5.9% | 16.88 | 10 |
| 5 | 11 | THE BEST HERO | 4.6% | 21.60 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | HANDSOME REBEL | 4.5% | 22.32 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | MELBOURNE HALL | 4.3% | 23.45 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | GOODMANSHIP | 3.8% | 26.32 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | GALLANT LEGACY | 3.4% | 29.65 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | SEA MONARCH | 2.2% | 44.47 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | PICHU | 0.7% | 151.64 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 94.5
PLACE
3 23.5
4 15
10 38.5
QUINELLA
4,10 287
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 51.5
3,10 135.5
4,10 88.5
FORECAST
10,4 634
TIERCE
10,4,3 3,807
TRIO
3,4,10 676
FIRST 4
3,4,10,11 1,271
QUARTET
10,4,3,11 42,052
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
8/4 40
8/10 922.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 27