跑馬地 · 2021-04-08
第 5場
2021-04-08跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、P F Yiu訓練的VIGOR CHAMP勝出，贏出2。TELECOM SMART獲得亞軍；UNIVERSAL GO GO獲得季軍。4.7倍大熱門JOLLY GOOD HEART跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | VIGOR CHAMP B 1.09.50 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 6 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | TELECOM SMART XB C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 3 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 11 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | JOLLY GOOD HEART Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 2 | 4.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 4 | 4.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | HERO STAR TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 8.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SUPER COMMANDER TT R Maia · D E Ferraris | R Maia | D E Ferraris | 5 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | TELECOM PUMA CP/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 10 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | LITTLE PLAYER CP C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 1 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | SEA ELITE H C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 7.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | MULTIPLE STAR TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 12 | 146.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 7 | 64.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JOLLY GOOD HEART | 19.7% | 5.06 | 4 |
| 2 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 17.4% | 5.75 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 12.7% | 7.90 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | VIGOR CHAMP | 11.7% | 8.52 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | SUPER COMMANDER | 9.3% | 10.77 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | HERO STAR | 8.4% | 11.90 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | SEA ELITE | 5.7% | 17.65 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | TELECOM SMART | 4.5% | 22.39 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | LITTLE PLAYER | 4.2% | 23.88 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | TELECOM PUMA | 3.5% | 28.37 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 | BULLISH BROTHER | 2.4% | 41.06 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | MULTIPLE STAR | 0.5% | 202.30 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 59
PLACE
5 42.5
7 42
11 19
QUINELLA
5,11 382.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 196
5,11 120.5
7,11 120
FORECAST
11,5 825
TIERCE
11,5,7 5,932
TRIO
5,7,11 1,435
FIRST 4
1,5,7,11 1,596
QUARTET
11,5,7,1 38,738
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,9/5,7,11 83,606
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 21.5
4TH DOUBLE
7/5 87.5
7/11 581.5