跑馬地 · 2021-04-08
第 8場
2021-04-08跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由R Maia策騎、T P Yung訓練的WINE AND WINE勝出，贏出1-1/4。CALIFORNIA CONCORD獲得亞軍；AMAZING NEWS獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門KINDA COOL跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WINE AND WINE TT 1.09.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 4 | 26.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | AMAZING NEWS TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | FIGHTING STAR XB/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 10 | 28.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | NORDIC WARRIOR B M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 7 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | AURORA PEGASUS TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 5.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | KINDA COOL B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 2.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | ALCARI V K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 9 | 8.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | MEHBOOB B/XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | CAPTAIN TIGER H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 5 | 118.0 | 15-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | AURORA PEGASUS | 36.0% | 2.78 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | KINDA COOL | 24.6% | 4.06 | 7 |
| 3 | 2 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 8.0% | 12.46 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 7.2% | 13.81 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | ALCARI | 6.4% | 15.60 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | FIGHTING STAR | 5.8% | 17.36 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | MEHBOOB | 4.8% | 20.89 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | AMAZING NEWS | 4.3% | 23.20 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | WINE AND WINE | 1.6% | 64.28 | 1 |
| 10 | 4 | CAPTAIN TIGER | 1.3% | 78.70 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 267
PLACE
2 20
5 41
8 56.5
QUINELLA
2,8 861
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 146.5
2,8 203.5
5,8 442
FORECAST
8,2 2,550
TIERCE
8,2,5 17,432
TRIO
2,5,8 4,057
FIRST 4
2,5,7,8 9,907
QUARTET
8,2,5,7 208,315
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 46.5
7TH DOUBLE
5/2 219.5
5/8 3,446.5