沙田 · 2021-05-23
第 2場
2021-05-23沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的DESTIN勝出，贏出1-1/2。JIANGXI STAMINA獲得亞軍；SURE WIN WIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門JIANGXI STAMINA跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DESTIN 後段發力 B 1.21.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | JIANGXI STAMINA 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 13 | 3.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | SURE WIN WIN 後段發力 B-/V1 K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 3 | 9.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 14 | THE FULL BLOOM 後段發力 V H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 10 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | BLAZING PARTNERS B M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 7 | 7.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | RUN DES RUN 後段發力 TT T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 1 | 58.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | FUN TIMES 後段發力 B B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 9 | 16.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | BRAVE POWER 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 8 | 30.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | HAPPY WINNER H/P2 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 4 | 58.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | ALLOY KING B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 14 | 34.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | RED ZOFFANY B/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 11 | 108.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | SHANGHAI GRACE B1/H2 M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 6 | 12.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | VICTORIOUS LEADER J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 5 | 7.1 | 13 |
| 14 | 3 | KELMIMI WINS 早段領放 B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 47.0 | 14-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DESTIN | 23.4% | 4.28 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 22.5% | 4.45 | 13 |
| 3 | 1 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 11.5% | 8.70 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | SURE WIN WIN | 9.5% | 10.47 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 6.9% | 14.51 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 6.4% | 15.75 | 12 |
| 7 | 9 | ALLOY KING | 4.4% | 22.59 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | FUN TIMES | 3.7% | 27.23 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | THE FULL BLOOM | 3.0% | 33.59 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | BRAVE POWER | 2.8% | 35.30 | 8 |
| 11 | 13 | HAPPY WINNER | 2.0% | 48.98 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | KELMIMI WINS | 1.7% | 58.05 | 14 |
| 13 | 4 | RUN DES RUN | 1.2% | 81.98 | 6 |
| 14 | 11 | RED ZOFFANY | 1.0% | 101.87 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 51.5
PLACE
1 15
2 16.5
6 32.5
QUINELLA
1,2 114
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 44.5
1,6 67
2,6 83.5
FORECAST
2,1 255
TIERCE
2,1,6 1,441
TRIO
1,2,6 242
FIRST 4
1,2,6,14 1,078
QUARTET
2,1,6,14 22,493
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
6/1 178
6/2 1,408
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 21
A1 —