Sha Tin · 2021-05-23
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-23 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DESTIN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1-1/2, with JIANGXI STAMINA second and SURE WIN WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite JIANGXI STAMINA finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DESTIN Closed strongly B 1.21.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | JIANGXI STAMINA Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 13 | 3.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | SURE WIN WIN Closed strongly B-/V1 K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 3 | 9.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 14 | THE FULL BLOOM Closed strongly V H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 10 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | BLAZING PARTNERS B M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 7 | 7.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | RUN DES RUN Closed strongly TT T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 1 | 58.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | FUN TIMES Closed strongly B B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 9 | 16.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 8 | 30.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | HAPPY WINNER H/P2 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 4 | 58.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | ALLOY KING B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 14 | 34.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | RED ZOFFANY B/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 11 | 108.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | SHANGHAI GRACE B1/H2 M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 6 | 12.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | VICTORIOUS LEADER J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 5 | 7.1 | 13 |
| 14 | 3 | KELMIMI WINS Led early B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 47.0 | 14-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DESTIN | 23.4% | 4.28 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 22.5% | 4.45 | 13 |
| 3 | 1 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 11.5% | 8.70 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | SURE WIN WIN | 9.5% | 10.47 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 6.9% | 14.51 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 6.4% | 15.75 | 12 |
| 7 | 9 | ALLOY KING | 4.4% | 22.59 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | FUN TIMES | 3.7% | 27.23 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | THE FULL BLOOM | 3.0% | 33.59 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | BRAVE POWER | 2.8% | 35.30 | 8 |
| 11 | 13 | HAPPY WINNER | 2.0% | 48.98 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | KELMIMI WINS | 1.7% | 58.05 | 14 |
| 13 | 4 | RUN DES RUN | 1.2% | 81.98 | 6 |
| 14 | 11 | RED ZOFFANY | 1.0% | 101.87 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 51.5
PLACE
1 15
2 16.5
6 32.5
QUINELLA
1,2 114
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 44.5
1,6 67
2,6 83.5
FORECAST
2,1 255
TIERCE
2,1,6 1,441
TRIO
1,2,6 242
FIRST 4
1,2,6,14 1,078
QUARTET
2,1,6,14 22,493
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/1 178
6/2 1,408
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 21
A1 —