Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2021-05-23

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.91
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 DESTIN Closed strongly B 1.21.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P O'Sullivan 2 5.1 1-1/2
2 0 JIANGXI STAMINA Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · W Y So 13 3.1 1-1/2
3 0 SURE WIN WIN Closed strongly B-/V1 K C Leung · T P Yung 3 9.7 2
4 0 THE FULL BLOOM Closed strongly V H T Mo · D J Hall 10 18.0 3
5 0 BLAZING PARTNERS B M Chadwick · D E Ferraris 7 7.1 3-1/4
6 0 RUN DES RUN Closed strongly TT T Piccone · K W Lui 1 58.0 5-1/2
7 0 FUN TIMES Closed strongly B B Shinn · A T Millard 9 16.0 6
8 0 BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 8 30.0 6-1/2
9 0 HAPPY WINNER H/P2 M L Yeung · L Ho 4 58.0 8
10 0 ALLOY KING B A Hamelin · K H Ting 14 34.0 8-1/2
11 0 RED ZOFFANY B/TT R Maia · K L Man 11 108.0 9-1/2
12 0 SHANGHAI GRACE B1/H2 M F Poon · Y S Tsui 6 12.0 9-1/2
13 0 VICTORIOUS LEADER J Moreira · C H Yip 5 7.1 13
14 0 KELMIMI WINS Led early B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 12 47.0 14-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-23 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DESTIN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1-1/2, with JIANGXI STAMINA second and SURE WIN WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite JIANGXI STAMINA finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DESTIN—2. JIANGXI STAMINA+1.5L3. SURE WIN WIN+2L4. THE FULL BLOOM+3L5. BLAZING PARTNERS+3.25L6. RUN DES RUN+5.5L7. FUN TIMES+6L8. BRAVE POWER+6.5L9. HAPPY WINNER+8L10. ALLOY KING+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick DESTIN (23.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DESTIN 23.4% 4.28 1
2 0 VICTORIOUS LEADER 22.5% 4.45 13
3 0 JIANGXI STAMINA 11.5% 8.70 2
4 0 SURE WIN WIN 9.5% 10.47 3
5 0 BLAZING PARTNERS 6.9% 14.51 5
6 0 SHANGHAI GRACE 6.4% 15.75 12
7 0 ALLOY KING 4.4% 22.59 10
8 0 FUN TIMES 3.7% 27.23 7
9 0 THE FULL BLOOM 3.0% 33.59 4
10 0 BRAVE POWER 2.8% 35.30 8
11 0 HAPPY WINNER 2.0% 48.98 9
12 0 KELMIMI WINS 1.7% 58.05 14
13 0 RUN DES RUN 1.2% 81.98 6
14 0 RED ZOFFANY 1.0% 101.87 11
DESTIN — wonVICTORIOUS LEADERJIANGXI STAMINASURE WIN WINBLAZING PARTNERSSHANGHAI GRACEALLOY KINGFUN TIMESTHE FULL BLOOMBRAVE POWERHAPPY WINNERKELMIMI WINSRUN DES RUNRED ZOFFANY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 51.5

PLACE

1 15

2 16.5

6 32.5

QUINELLA

1,2 114

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 44.5

1,6 67

2,6 83.5

FORECAST

2,1 255

TIERCE

2,1,6 1,441

TRIO

1,2,6 242

FIRST 4

1,2,6,14 1,078

QUARTET

2,1,6,14 22,493

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

6/1 178

6/2 1,408

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 21

A1 —