Sha Tin · 2021-05-23
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FREE FOAL Closed strongly 1.35.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 6.9 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | CHARGE ON Closed strongly B K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 13 | 6.9 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | EL JEFE Closed strongly XB/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly V J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 11 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE KING Closed strongly TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 10 | 46.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NEW FUTURE Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 14 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DANDY YEARS Led early B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | RED IMPACT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 3 | 89.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER FAST XB A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 2 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD B R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 1 | 32.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA B A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | FIGURES TWO H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 8 | 223.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-23 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FREE FOAL, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with CHARGE ON second and EL JEFE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite DANDY YEARS finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DANDY YEARS | 30.1% | 3.32 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 19.1% | 5.23 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | EL JEFE | 9.5% | 10.52 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 7.7% | 13.03 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 6.6% | 15.24 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | NEW FUTURE | 5.4% | 18.40 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER FAST | 4.5% | 22.28 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 4.3% | 23.23 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 3.6% | 27.79 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | CHARGE ON | 3.0% | 32.91 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD | 2.3% | 44.05 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | RED IMPACT | 1.8% | 55.63 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | BRAVE KING | 1.6% | 62.61 | 5 |
| 14 | 0 | FIGURES TWO | 0.5% | 212.98 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 69.5
PLACE
3 23
5 37
10 27
QUINELLA
3,10 249.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 141.5
3,10 88.5
5,10 173
FORECAST
10,3 507
TIERCE
10,3,5 4,952
TRIO
3,5,10 1,184
FIRST 4
3,5,8,10 1,884
QUARTET
10,3,5,8 42,510
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 18.5
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
4/3 189
4/10 777