Sha Tin · 2021-05-23
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-23 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GRACYLOVE, ridden by C Schofield and trained by D J Hall, won by HD, with MASTER HERO second and ZONE D third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite DRAGON FORTUNE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GRACYLOVE Closed strongly 1.21.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 7 | 5.2 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | MASTER HERO Closed strongly XB/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 13.0 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 9.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | BRILLIANT CHINA Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 3 | 29.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | BIG TWO H/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | DRAGON FORTUNE TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 2.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | ULTIMATE GLORY Closed strongly B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 6 | 47.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | LOVE ME MORE K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 13 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | SUPER RED DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 5 | 9.1 | 8 |
| 11 | 14 | MAGIC BONUS M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 194.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | SHADOW RUNNER Led early B K H Chan · P O'Sullivan | K H Chan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 62.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | TELECOM PUMA Closed strongly TT T Piccone · C Fownes | T Piccone | C Fownes | 8 | 62.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | FOREVER M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 14 | 108.0 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 33.1% | 3.02 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | ZONE D | 13.7% | 7.28 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | GRACYLOVE | 11.3% | 8.81 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 9.9% | 10.10 | 10 |
| 5 | 5 | MASTER HERO | 8.0% | 12.44 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | BIG TWO | 6.1% | 16.50 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | LOVE ME MORE | 4.5% | 22.25 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | SHADOW RUNNER | 3.5% | 28.39 | 12 |
| 9 | 11 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 3.2% | 31.63 | 8 |
| 10 | 13 | BRILLIANT CHINA | 2.7% | 37.38 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | TELECOM PUMA | 1.6% | 63.06 | 13 |
| 12 | 12 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 1.4% | 70.23 | 7 |
| 13 | 8 | FOREVER | 0.5% | 212.80 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | MAGIC BONUS | 0.5% | 221.48 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 52
PLACE
3 22
5 33.5
9 17
QUINELLA
5,9 294.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 126
3,9 79
5,9 90.5
FORECAST
9,5 332
TIERCE
9,5,3 3,363
TRIO
3,5,9 1,017
FIRST 4
3,5,9,13 2,807
QUARTET
9,5,3,13 40,907
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 25
A2 —
9TH DOUBLE
5/5 105
5/9 248