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Sha Tin · 2021-05-23

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.20.91
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly TT 1.20.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · C Fownes 3 3.2 2
2 0 HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/XB Z Purton · D J Whyte 4 3.0 2
3 0 XIANG YIN Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · F C Lor 8 17.0 2-3/4
4 0 KAI XIN DRAGON Led early TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes 6 19.0 5-1/2
5 0 ROYAL BOMB K Teetan · C Fownes 1 10.0 6
6 0 GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly B- H N Wong · Y S Tsui 10 34.0 6-1/4
7 0 ELON P/E1 C Schofield · J Size 9 26.0 6-3/4
8 0 YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 7 11.0 6-3/4
9 0 COMPASSION SPIRIT B K C Leung · K L Man 2 7.7 8
10 0 WINNING FOR ALL B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui 11 14.0 9-1/4
11 0 FLASH FAMOUS TT C Wong · C H Yip 5 54.0 11-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-23 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HALL OF CHAMP, ridden by B Shinn and trained by C Fownes, won by 2, with HORSESAIN BOLT second and XIANG YIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite HORSESAIN BOLT finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HALL OF CHAMP—2. HORSESAIN BOLT+2L3. XIANG YIN+2.75L4. KAI XIN DRAGON+5.5L5. ROYAL BOMB+6L6. GREAT TREASURE+6.25L7. ELON+6.75L8. YO BEAUTY+6.75L9. COMPASSION SPIRIT+8L10. WINNING FOR ALL+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick YO BEAUTY (25.2%) finished 8th — the winner HALL OF CHAMP was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 YO BEAUTY 25.2% 3.97 8
2 0 HORSESAIN BOLT 20.5% 4.88 2
3 0 ROYAL BOMB 15.4% 6.50 5
4 0 COMPASSION SPIRIT 11.0% 9.06 9
5 0 HALL OF CHAMP 9.8% 10.19 1
6 0 WINNING FOR ALL 7.2% 13.83 10
7 0 ELON 3.8% 26.15 7
8 0 XIANG YIN 2.5% 39.61 3
9 0 KAI XIN DRAGON 2.4% 41.26 4
10 0 FLASH FAMOUS 1.4% 73.30 11
11 0 GREAT TREASURE 0.8% 131.87 6
YO BEAUTYHORSESAIN BOLTROYAL BOMBCOMPASSION SPIRITHALL OF CHAMP — wonWINNING FOR ALLELONXIANG YINKAI XIN DRAGONFLASH FAMOUSGREAT TREASURE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 32.5

PLACE

5 14

7 14.5

10 42

QUINELLA

5,7 47.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,7 22

5,10 92.5

7,10 85.5

FORECAST

5,7 121

TIERCE

5,7,10 1,006

TRIO

5,7,10 195

FIRST 4

5,7,8,10 774

QUARTET

5,7,10,8 10,532

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 15.5

8TH DOUBLE

6/5 900.5

6/7 145.5