Sha Tin · 2021-05-23
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-23 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. THE HULK, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-3/4, with LEAP OF FAITH second and FLYING VICTORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite CRAIG'S STAR finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | THE HULK Closed strongly 1.21.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 10 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | LEAP OF FAITH Closed strongly A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | FLYING VICTORY Closed strongly H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 9 | 43.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | GOLDEN LINK Led early T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 8 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY SPIRIT Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 3 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | TRUST ME Closed strongly H M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 11 | 33.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | KING OPIE V-/B2 J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | CRAIG'S STAR B M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 3.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | WIN WIN Closed strongly B R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 7 | 19.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | AI ONE XB-/CP1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 77.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | UNCLE STEVE CP/SR/XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 6 | 3.5 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KING OPIE | 22.9% | 4.37 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | UNCLE STEVE | 22.5% | 4.45 | 11 |
| 3 | 2 | CRAIG'S STAR | 14.4% | 6.92 | 8 |
| 4 | 4 | THE HULK | 12.4% | 8.08 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | GOLDEN LINK | 7.3% | 13.68 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | LEAP OF FAITH | 5.2% | 19.12 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | TRUST ME | 4.1% | 24.69 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 3.9% | 25.79 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | FLYING VICTORY | 3.3% | 29.96 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | WIN WIN | 2.7% | 36.61 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | AI ONE | 1.3% | 76.99 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 51.5
PLACE
4 16.5
10 100.5
11 47
QUINELLA
4,11 285.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 370
4,11 120.5
10,11 595.5
FORECAST
4,11 874
TIERCE
4,11,10 18,413
TRIO
4,10,11 5,670
FIRST 4
4,7,10,11 8,434
QUARTET
4,11,10,7 144,669
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 28
6TH DOUBLE
10/4 539.5
10/11 304
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,11,13/3,5,10/Any Combination 414,534