Sha Tin · 2021-05-23
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DONC JE SUIS Closed strongly B 2.02.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 5 | 7.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | NUREMBERG Closed strongly B/H/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 13 | 37.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly CP/H M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 7.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS Closed strongly TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 2 | 29.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 12 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | EZRA Closed strongly B H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 14 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 1 | 9.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | EVER LAUGH B-/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | DAILY CHARM B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 10 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | PLAY WISE B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | CHEEKY PRAWN B/E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 19.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON Led early B K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 6 | 5.8 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 4.5 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-23 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DONC JE SUIS, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3/4, with NUREMBERG second and BULLISH GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite JOYFUL HEART finished 14th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DONC JE SUIS | 22.2% | 4.50 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART | 18.8% | 5.31 | 14 |
| 3 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 13.8% | 7.25 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 9.7% | 10.28 | 13 |
| 5 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 7.1% | 14.10 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | NUREMBERG | 4.4% | 22.49 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 3.8% | 26.50 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | EZRA | 3.5% | 28.20 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | PLAY WISE | 3.3% | 30.59 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL | 2.9% | 34.33 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | DAILY CHARM | 2.8% | 35.23 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 2.6% | 39.09 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | CHEEKY PRAWN | 2.5% | 40.09 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY | 2.5% | 40.10 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 71.5
PLACE
4 26.5
11 107.5
13 49
QUINELLA
4,11 1,351.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 409
4,13 236.5
11,13 723.5
FORECAST
4,11 2,487
TIERCE
4,11,13 23,570
TRIO
4,11,13 6,667
FIRST 4
4,9,11,13 9,238
QUARTET
4,11,13,9 225,290
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,9/4,11,13 100,782
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 27.5
4TH DOUBLE
9/4 72.5
9/11 68.5